DECEMBER 6, 1941.
Memorandum for the Chief of Staff:
Subject: Estimate of Japanese Strength in Indo-China.
1. It is estimated that there are 107,000-115,000 Japanese troops ashore in Indo-China, 25,000 in the north and 82,000-90,000 in the south.
2 Analysis of the foregoing:
a. Tong King:
Initial garrison ........................................... 6,000
Landed prior to Oct. 18 .................................... 5,000
Landed since Oct. 18 ....................................... 14,000
Present Total ............................................. *25,000
*Exclusive of about 13,000 troops landed at Haiphong and moved south by rail.
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b. South Indo-China:
(1) Known to have landed.
Garrison Nov. 1 ............................................ 32,000
Nov. 3-18
By sea ................................................. 2,000
By rail ................................................ 3,000
Nov. 18-29
By sea ................................................. 30,000
By rail ................................................ 10,000
[Total] 77,000
Since Nov. 29 (est.) ....................................... 5,000
[Total] 82,000
(2) Reported by Manila, December 21 [sic, LWJ]-21 transports in Camrah Bay-estimated 18,000.
(3) According to various reports, there is an undetermined number of transports enroute to Indo-China.
SHERMAN MILES,
Brigadier General, U. S. Army,
Acting Assistant Chief of Staff, G-2.
Distribution:
Secretary of War.
Assistant Chief of Staff, WPD.
(EXHIBITS
OF THE JOINT COMMITTEE, PHA, PT. 14, EXHIBIT NO. 33 MILITARY INTELLIGENCE
ESTIMATES PREPARED BY G-2, WAR DEPARTMENT)