{"id":2227,"date":"2007-08-09T16:48:33","date_gmt":"2007-08-09T21:48:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ibiblio.org\/pjones\/wordpress\/?p=2227"},"modified":"2007-08-09T16:50:16","modified_gmt":"2007-08-09T21:50:16","slug":"when-will-ai-surpass-human-level-intelligence","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ibiblio.org\/pjones\/blog\/when-will-ai-surpass-human-level-intelligence\/","title":{"rendered":"When will AI surpass human-level intelligence?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.novamente.net\/bruce\/index.php\/?page_id=2\">Bruce Klein<\/a> asks a bunch of folks the question above is a brief survey that looked like this (once I filled it in):<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\n<strong>+Paul, quick question&#8230; when do you think AI will surpass human-level intelligence?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>caveat: AI isn&#8217;t attacking the full spectrum of known human intelligence.<br \/>\nIn the case of simple to nearly complex logic. AI is there. In the case of<br \/>\nsocial and emotional and situational intelligences, perhaps never or at<br \/>\nleast not until we understand those intelligences well enough to model<br \/>\nthem.<\/p>\n<p>that said here&#8217;s a stab at general intelligence and AI<\/p>\n<p>+[ ] 2010-20<br \/>\n+[X] 2020-30 <em>(complex logic)<\/em><br \/>\n+[ ] 2030-50<br \/>\n+[ ] 2050-70<br \/>\n+[ ] 2070-2100<br \/>\n+[ ] Beyond 2100<br \/>\n+[ ] Prefer not to make predictions<br \/>\n+[X] Other: <em>see caveat above<\/em>\n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.novamente.net\/bruce\/index.php\/?p=54\"><br \/>\nResults and an opportunity to fill in the survey yourself here.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bruce Klein asks a bunch of folks the question above is a brief survey that looked like this (once I filled it in): +Paul, quick question&#8230; when do you think AI will surpass human-level intelligence? caveat: AI isn&#8217;t attacking the full spectrum of known human intelligence. In the case of simple to nearly complex logic. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2227","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general","post-preview"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibiblio.org\/pjones\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2227","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibiblio.org\/pjones\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibiblio.org\/pjones\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibiblio.org\/pjones\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibiblio.org\/pjones\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2227"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibiblio.org\/pjones\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2227\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibiblio.org\/pjones\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2227"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibiblio.org\/pjones\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2227"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibiblio.org\/pjones\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2227"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}